Monday, May 31, 2010

Halal Phenamenon

Here is an excerpt from an article on "Halal Branding"


THE world is slowly but surely realising the importance of the "halal" branding as major companies around the world move in to capture a global Muslim community, where the "ummah" brings together nearly 1.8 billion people around the world.

The majority of those people are in Asia, particularly South and East Asia. It's also a very young demographic - 52% are under 24. This means a trend-setting, ambitious, and internationally connected market is at hand here.


"Halal" according to Islam is very different than it is being projected as "the authenticity and cleanliness of the product".


"Halal (Arabic:حلال, alāl; means lawful or legal) is a term designating any object or an action which is permissible to use or engage in, according to Islamic law."


We, the Muslims have no concern with anything other than it is permitted by Allah (SWT) or not. There is no such thing as "clean" or "Authentic" in any other sense. Any thing can be clean and authentic but if not permitted by Allah (SWT), it is not Halal.


He hath only forbidden you ...............................and that on which any other name hath been invoked besides that of Allah (Aya 173 of Sura Al-Baqara)

Friday, May 21, 2010

Behavioral Traps

Behavior means actions or reactions of a person or animal in response to external or internal stimuli. It is the mind that sends signal to different parts of the body to act or react to any exteral or internal reason for such an action. Normatively speaking everybody is rational unless otherwise proved. By being rational, we tend to behave rationally, means behaving logically, based on reason. That is where the danger lies.


Our minds set up many traps for us. Unless we're aware of them, these traps can seriously hinder our ability to think rationally, leading us to bad reasoning and making stupid decisions. Features of our minds that are meant to help us may, eventually, get us into trouble.


Here is a list of 10 such traps.
  1. The Anchoring Trap: Over-Relying on First Thoughts - Your starting point can heavily bias your thinking: initial impressions, ideas, estimates or data "anchor" subsequent thoughts.
  2. The Status Quo Trap: Keeping on Keeping On - We tend to repeat established behaviors, unless we are given the right incentives to entice us to change them. The status quo automatically has an advantage over every other alternative.
  3. The Sunk Cost Trap: Protecting Earlier Choices - You pre-ordered a non-refundable ticket to a basketball game. On the night of the game, you're tired and there's a blizzard raging outside. You regret the fact that you bought the ticket because, frankly, you would prefer to stay at home, light up your fireplace and comfortably watch the game on TV. What would you do?
It may be hard to admit, but staying at home is the best choice here. The money for the ticket is already gone regardless of the alternative you choose: it's a sunk cost, and it shouldn't influence your decision.
  1. The Confirmation Trap: Seeing What You Want to See - You feel the stock market will be going down and that now may be a good time to sell your stock. Just to be reassured of your hunch, you call a friend that has just sold all her stock to find out her reasons.
Congratulations, you have just fallen into the Confirmation Trap: looking for information that will most likely support your initial point of view - while conveniently avoiding information that challenges it.
This confirmation bias affects not only where you go to collect evidence, but also how you interpret the data: we are much less critical of arguments that support our initial ideas and much more resistant to arguments against them.
No matter how neutral we think we are when first tackling a decision, our brains always decide - intuitively - on an alternative right away, making us subject to this trap virtually at all times.
  1. The Incomplete Information Trap: Review Your Assumptions - We keep mental images - simplifications of reality - that make we jump to conclusions before questioning assumptions or checking whether we have enough information.
  2. The Conformity Trap: Everybody Else is Doing It - This "herd instinct" exists - to different degrees - in all of us. Even if we hate to admit it, other people's actions do heavily influence ours. We fear looking dumb: failing along with many people is frequently not considered a big deal, but when we fail alone we must take all the heat ourselves. There's always peer pressure to adopt the behaviors of the groups we're in.
  1. The Illusion of Control Trap: Shooting in the Dark - Even in situations we clearly can't control, we still tend to irrationally believe that we can somehow influence results. We just love to feel in control.
  1. The Coincidence Trap: We Suck at Probabilities - This means that the "miracle" is not only possible but - given enough attempts - its likelihood increases to a point of becoming almost inevitable.
  1. The Recall Trap: Not All Memories Are Created Equal - What happens is we analyze information based on experience, on what we can remember from it. Because of that, we're overly influenced by events that stand out from others, such as those with highly dramatic impact or very recent ones. The more "special" an event is, the greater the potential to distort our thinking.
  1. The Superiority Trap: The Average is Above Average - With few exceptions, people have much inflated views of themselves. They overestimate their skills and capabilities, leading to many errors in judgment.

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Change is about changing behaviors

Rosabeth Moss Kanter rightly says " culture is the hardest thing to change, whether ethics in the financial system or the eating habits of individuals. That's because change is not a decision like appointing a new CEO, nor is it an event like winning an election. Change is an ongoing campaign." She argued for five elements than can bring change but the last one is relevant to our subject i-e bringing a change in behaviors.


It is " like marketing campaigns that require point of sale support, successful behavior change campaigns need to place reminders at the point of action - the moment of truth when behavior is set in motion." This constant reminder theory is also mentioned by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein


The Wall Street Journal reports on another study showing that reminding (some call it nagging) has its virtues - this time for exercising. As part of the study, one group of people received a weekly phone call from a human asking them how much exercise they'd gotten that week and congratulating them if they had met a personal goal. Another group got a similar call from an automated system. A third group got no call.



After 12 months, participants receiving calls from a live person were exercising, as a mean, about 178 minutes a week, above government recommendations for 150 minutes a week. That represented a 78% jump from about 100 minutes a week at the start of the study. Exercise levels for the group receiving computerized calls doubled to 157 minutes a week. A control group of participants, who received no phone calls, exercised 118 minutes a week, up 28% from the study's start. "When you knew you were going to have to report back on what you had done, it motivated you," says Ms. Lowe.


Monday, May 17, 2010

There is only one solution to current debt based financial crisis

"In an interview with CNN's Fareed Zakaria to be aired today, G-Pap has threatened he may sue US banks for "contributing" to his country's debt crisis. For those of you lacking in analogy skills, Greece is in the same shoes as a bankrupt debtor who wants to sue his creditors for daring to hike up his interest rate when the only means he has to roll his debt is by using another credit card (this one issued by US and European Taxpayers), even as bankruptcy is literally hours away."


"Allah will deprive usury of all blessing but will give increase for deeds of charity: for He loveth not creatures ungrateful and wicked." Aya 276 of Sura Al-Baqara


"O ye who believe! fear Allah and give up what remains of your demand for usury if ye are indeed believers. If ye do it not take notice of war from Allah and his Apostle: but if ye turn back ye shall have your capital sums; deal not unjustly and ye shall not be dealt with unjustly. f the debtor is in a difficulty grant him time till it is easy for him to repay. But if ye remit if by way of charity that is best for you if ye only knew." Ayat 278 - 280 of Sura Al-Baqara



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Thursday, May 13, 2010

The Great American Bubble Machine - Goldman Sachs

Here is an excerpt from an article by Matt Taibbi

The First thing you need to know about Goldman Sachs is that it's every-
where. The world's most powerful investment bank is a great vampire squid
wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money. In fact, the history of the recent financial crisis, which doubles as a history of the rapid decline and fall of the suddenly swindled-dry American empire, reads like a Who'sWho of Goldman Sachs graduates.


By now, most of us know the major players. As George Bush's last Treasury secretary, former Goldman CEO Henry Paulson was the architect ofthe bailout, a suspiciously self serving plan to funnel trillions of Your Dollars to a handful of his old friends on Wall Street. Robert Rubin, Bill Clinton's former Treasury secretary, spent 26 years at Goldman before becoming chairman of Citigroup - which in turn got a $300 billion taxpayer bailout from Paulson. There's John Thain, the asshole chief of Merrill Lynch who bought an $87,000 area rug for his office as his company was imploding; a former GoIdman banker, Thain enjoyed a multibillion dollar handout from Paulson, who used billions in taxpayer funds to help Bank of America rescue Thain's sorry company. And Robert Steel, the former Goldmanite head of Wachovia,
scored himself and his fellow executives $225 million in golden parachute payments as his bank was self-destructing. There's Joshua Bolten, Bush's chief of staff during the bailout, and Mark Patterson, the current Treasury chief of staff, who was a Goldman lobbyist just a year ago, and Ed Liddy, the former Goldman director whom Paulson put in charge of bailed-out insurance giant AIG, wbich forked over $13 billion to Goldman after Liddy
came on board. The heads ofthe Canadian and Italian national banks are Goldman alums, as is the head of the World Bank, the head of the New York Stock Exchange, the last two heads of the Federal Reserve Bank of NewYork - which, incidentally, is now in charge of overseeing Goldman - not to mention ...


But then, any attempt to construct a narrative around all the former Goldmanites in influential positions quickly becomes an absurd and pointless exercise, like trying to make a list of everything. What you need to know is the big picture: If America is circling the drain, Goldman Sachs has found a way to be that drain - an extremely unfortunate loophole in the system of
Western democratic capitalism, which never foresaw that in a Society governed passively by free markets and free elections,organized greed always defeats disorganized democracy.

The bank's unprecedented reach and power have enabled it to turn all of America into a giant pump-and-dump scam, manipulating whole economic sectors for years at a time, moving the dice game as this or that market collapses, and all the time gorging itself on the unseen costs that are breaking families everywhere - high gas prices, rising consumer credit rates, half eaten pension funds, mass layoffs, future taxes to payoff bailouts. All that money that you're losing, it's going somewhere, and in both a literal and a figurative sense. Goldman Sachs is where it's going: The bank is a huge, highly sophisticated engine for converting the useful, deployed wealth of society into the least useful, most wasteful and insoluble substance on Earth - pure profit for rich individuals.


They achieve this using the same playbook over and over again. The formula is relatively simple: Goldman positions itself in the middle of a speculative bubble, selling investments they know are crap. Then they hoover up vast sums from the middle and lower floors of society with the aid of a crippled and corrupt state that allows it to rewrite the rules in exchange for the relative pennies the bank throws at political patronage. Finally, when it all goes bust, leaving millions of ordinary citizens broke and starving, they begin the entire process over again, riding in to rescue us all by lending us back our own money at interest, selling themselves as men above greed, just a bunch of really smart guys keeping the wheels greased. They've been pulling this same stunt over and over since the 1920s - and now they're preparing to do it again, creating what may be the biggest and most audacious bubble yet.


If you want to understand how we got into this financial crisis, you have to first understand where all the money went - and in order to understand that, you need to understand what Goldman has already gotten away with. It is a history exactly five bubbles long - including last year's strange and seemingly inexplicable spike in the price of oil. There were a lot of losers in each of those bubbles, and in the bailout that followed. But Goldman wasn't one of them.